Modeling Post-Earthquake Population Displacement and Long-Term Community Recovery Challenges

Tuesday, July 13, 3:30 to 5:00 p.m. MDT

The Communities at Risk Analysis of the HayWired scenario adds a social dimension and long-term perspective to the hazards and physical damages of a hypothetical magnitude 7 earthquake on the Hayward Fault. Nearly 7.7 million residents and over one hundred cities of the San Francisco Bay region, California, are affected. “Communities at risk” are defined in the analysis as places where normal community functions would be severely impaired or cease to exist for months, even years, after a disaster and where residents may be forcibly displaced because of direct damage to their homes and neighborhoods, or voluntarily relocate because they cannot obtain services or otherwise recover. This panel will discuss the cross-sector collaborations involved in developing and applying the novel approaches taken to identifying the people and places most vulnerable to displacement and long-term community recovery challenges after a major earthquake like that in the HayWired scenario. Panelists will identify synergies with housing mitigation programs; regional economic, housing and transportation planning; and post-disaster sheltering and housing recovery planning; and the provision of resources for vulnerable populations.

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